Showing posts with label Euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Euro. Show all posts

Thursday, 3 November 2011

ECB cuts rates

New ECB chief, bold action. Mario Draghi cut rates by 0.25, which was a surprise to the market but shows how he seems to do more then follow the single mandate set by the ECB to inflation under control.
The Euro dropped 50 ticks before instantly fading the whole move, with the second wave being more of a sustained move to the downside.
As you would expect the shorter term bonds had the best reactions with the Schatz spike 14 ticks with a small fade, and the Euribor have 10 to 12 fat tick move. It was very hard to get in on as there was hardly any offers in the market before the announcement.
Spreads rose initially before coming back off, giving good opportunities to sell as we had a nice pop up. This was because Draghi gave no hint that the ECB's bond-buy programme, a controversial tool that has led to the resignation of two German policymakers, would be accelerated despite the chaos in Greece threatening to engulf the much larger economies of Italy and Spain.
The mess isn't over and tricky conditions will no doubt continue.

Tuesday, 1 November 2011

Bunds rally on Italian debt worries

So how about a 400 tick rally in the bunds so far this week! We were looking at top side resistance at 136 area and we have smashed through and back above near the all time highs of this contract trading in the 138s. Not for the faint hearted these moves.
I think 138s-139s will be a very big sticking point as yields will be super low, but if the situation escalates we could see 140s soon.
Italian yields are rising causing alot of concern and pummelling bank stocks. Coupled with the Greek prime minister saying it will have a referendum on the bailout, which is ridiculous. Its laughable really.
Euro traded low 1.36s after being at 1.42s last week. How quickly things change!

Front month WTI Futures plunges to negative $37 as storage costs rocket

It was a move of epic proportions in the front month WTI Crude futures, the significance of which is not really known of yet, but was incre...